Silent Bob Posted February 1, 2006 Share Posted February 1, 2006 Not a whole lot of surprises on this list this year. I'll comment on the big categories (screw you, sound mixing!) Ok so the nominees are... Best Motion Picture of the Year Brokeback Mountain Capote Crash Good Night, and Good Luck Munich Of the Best Picture noms, Brokeback Mountain is the favorite, and has the most nominations of any movie this year. But that's not to say it's a sure sweep. Good Night and Capote are both strong contenders, and Munich has advantages in its intense subject matter and high production values - not to mention Spielberg's name. But I think if any movie is going to teach the Academy how to quit Brokeback, it's the little movie called Crash. Despite getting only a limited release way back in May, Crash has continuously made every major critic's top-ten list - often at the top. And even more telling, its recent win at the Screen Actor's Guild Awards just proves that it hasn't been forgotten - plus SAG members make up a majority of the Academy voters. Achievement in Directing Ang Lee for Brokeback Mountain Bennett Miller for Capote Paul Haggis for Crash George Clooney for Good Night, and Good Luck Steven Spielberg for Munich It's odd to note the relative inexperience of most of the Best Director noms. Spielberg and Lee are, of course, well established names but Good Night, and Good Luck is only Clooney's second film. And Haggis and Miller are getting noms for their feature film debuts. This year has not been missing the usual epic best picture fodder from well-name directors - Jackson's [i[King Kong[/i], Marshall's Memoirs of a Geisha, Howard's Cinderella Man and Mallick's The New World to name just a few - so it's kinda interesting that the Academy chose to honor more personal projects over the grand-scale ones this year. Anyway, my pick is for Lee to be the front-runner. Especially if Crash edges past Brokeback in the Best Picture race, Lee might get Director as a consolation prize. Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role Philip Seymour Hoffman for Capote Terrence Howard for Hustle & Flow Heath Ledger for Brokeback Mountain Joaquin Phoenix for Walk the Line David Strathairn for Good Night, and Good Luck Signs point to this being Hoffman's year in the big acting category. Voters and audiences love to see actors portray real people, as evidenced by Jamie Fox's win last year, and the three out of five nominations for non-fiction roles this year. As with most categories this year, though, it's hardly a sure bet since Phoenix and Ledger are both very strong contenders. But if there's going to be an underdog coming from behind, it'll be Terrence Howard who has had a hell of a year with Hustle's surprising success and a great performance in Crash (then again, who didn't give a great performance in Crash?). Despite a commanding performance, Straithairn is certainly the dark horse of this race and if he wins it'd be quite a surprise. Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role George Clooney for Syriana Matt Dillon for Crash Paul Giamatti for Cinderella Man Jake Gyllenhaal for Brokeback Mountain William Hurt for A History of Violence My vote's for Gyllenhaal. Clooney's had a good year, but most of the attention he's gotten has been as a writer/director, not for his performances. William Hurt may have done great in A History of Violence but it sounds like (and correct me if I'm wrong, I haven't seen it yet) his part was just too small to be a contender against some of these other roles. Only Judi Dench can win supporting Oscars for miniscule parts. Matt Dillon was great in Crash but everyone was great in Crash so it would be strange if he won the only acting award for it. And finally, I think Giamatti's nomination is nothing but an apology from the Academy for forgetting his performance in Sideways last year. Yeah, my money's on Gyllenhaal. Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role Judi Dench for Mrs. Henderson Presents Felicity Huffman for Transamerica Keira Knightley for Pride & Prejudice Charlize Theron for North Country Reese Witherspoon for Walk the Line Anyone's race. Many signs point to Witherspoon being the favorite, especially after her SAG win, but don't count out the other nominees. Knightley has a strong chance due to the "oh my god, she can act" quality of her performance, often being called the best in a long line of Elizabeth Bennets. And let's not forget the fact that due to a potent cocktail of talent and experience, Judi Dench can do no wrong. And if there's a dark horse with the chops to come from behind and take it all, it's definitely Felicity Huffman. The only one who, I think, doesn't have much of a chance is Charlize Theron, whose North Country role will constantly be compared to her recent win in Monster - unfavorably. Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role Amy Adams for Junebug Catherine Keener for Capote Frances McDormand for North Country Rachel Weisz for The Constant Gardener Michelle Williams for Brokeback Mountain Rachel Weisz because of her SAG win. Michelle Williams because of the Brokeback Mountain wave. Amy Adams because she's the only representation for the critically-loved Junebug on the entire list. Frances McDormand and Catherine Keener just for being Frances McDormand and Catherine Keener. This one's anyone's guess. Best Animated Feature Film of the Year Howl's Moving Castle Tim Burton's Corpse Bride Wallace & Gromit in The Curse of the Were-Rabbit Foreign language films always have trouble in any category but the foreign language category and most reviews have indicated that Howl's Moving Castle is good, but not say...Spirited Away good. I think the fight will be between the Corpse Bride and Wallace & Gromit. I'd say, look for W&G to win due to its easily accessible subject matter and innocent good-natured humor. The sympathy vote - Aardman studios burned to the ground the weekend of the movie's release - counts as well. It's also interesting to note that, just a couple years after movie studios jumped on the bandwagon of proclaiming computer animation the only type of animation audiences want to see, we get a Best Animated category that doesn't contain a single cg movie. Who'd have thought. Achievement in Art Direction Good Night, and Good Luck Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire King Kong Memoirs of a Geisha Pride & Prejudice Achievement in Cinematography Batman Begins Brokeback Mountain Good Night, and Good Luck Memoirs of a Geisha The New World Achievement in Costume Design Charlie and the Chocolate Factory Memoirs of a Geisha Mrs. Henderson Presents Pride & Prejudice Walk the Line Best Documentary Feature Darwin's Nightmare Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room March of the Penguins Murderball Street Fight I can see March of the Penguins easily winning because of the populist vote, but it's hard to remember a year with so many strong and well-received documentaries in the category. Murderball also has a shot for its social relevance, despite never finding much of an audience. Best Documentary Short Subject The Death of Kevin Carter: Casualty of the Bang Bang Club God Sleeps in Rwanda The Mushroom Club A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin Achievement in Film Editing Cinderella Man The Constant Gardener Crash Munich Walk the Line Best Foreign Language Film of the Year Don't Tell Joyeux Noel Paradise Now Sophie Scholl: The Final Days Tsotsi Achievement in Makeup The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe Cinderella Man Star Wars: Episode III Revenge of the Sith Original Score Gustavo Santaolalla for Brokeback Mountain Alberto Iglesias for The Constant Gardener John Williams for Memoirs of a Geisha John Williams for Munich Dario Marianelli for Pride & Prejudice Original Song "In the Deep" from Crash "It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" from Hustle & Flow "Travelin' Thru" from Transamerica Best Animated Short Film Badgered The Moon and the Sun: An Imagined Conversation The Mysterious Geographic Explorations of Jasper Morello 9 One Man Band Best Live Action Short Film Ausreisser (The Runaway) Cashback The Last Farm Our Time Is Up Six Shooter Achievement in Sound Editing King Kong Memoirs of a Geisha War of the Worlds Achievement in Sount Mixing The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe King Kong Memoirs of a Geisha Walk the Line War of the Worlds Achievement in Visual Effects The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe King Kong War of the Worlds Adapted Screenplay Brokeback Mountain Capote The Constant Gardener A History of Violence Munich Brokeback Mountain. C'mon, turning a short story into a cultural phenomena ("I don't know how to quit you" is this year's "show me the money") and the year's most talked about movie. Easy. Original Screenplay Crash Good Night, and Good Luck Match Point The Squid and the Whale Syriana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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